U.S. President Donald Trump speaks to supporters at a rally in front of Raymond James Stadium on October 29, 2020 in Tampa, Florida.
Paul Hennessey | NurPhoto | Getty Images
President Donald Trump's election campaign events resulted in more than 30,000 coronavirus cases, according to a new article by researchers at Stanford.
The researchers examined 18 Trump rallies between June 20 and September 22 and analyzed the Covid-19 data in the weeks following each event. They compared the districts where the events took place to other districts that had a similar history of confirmed Covid-19 cases prior to the rally date. Of the 18 rallies analyzed, only three were indoor, according to studies.
The researchers found that the rallies ultimately led to more than 30,000 confirmed cases of Covid-19. They also concluded that the rallies likely resulted in more than 700 deaths, although not necessarily among those attending.
The researchers said the results support warnings and recommendations from public health officials regarding the risk of transmitting Covid-19 at large group meetings, "especially when the level of compliance with guidelines regarding the use of masks and social distancing is low" .
"The communities where Trump rallies were held paid a heavy price for illness and death," wrote B. Douglas Bernheim, Stanford economic chairman and lead author of the paper.
The paper, which has not yet been subjected to peer review, has been published on the open access preprint platform SSRN.
In response to the paper, Trump campaign spokesman Courtney Parella said, "Americans have the right to meet under the First Amendment to hear from the President of the United States."
"We take strict precautions for our campaign events. Each participant must have their temperature checked, provide masks to wear and ensure access to plenty of hand sanitizer. We also have signs at our events instructing participants to wear their masks . " , "She added.
A spokesman for Joe Biden's campaign made a statement following the newspaper's release, saying: "Trump costs hundreds of lives and triggers thousands of cases of super-spreader rallies that only serve his own ego."
Worst of all, this doesn't even capture Trump's many superspreader events on the White House grounds or the last five weeks of events across the country. How many more lives have been changed during that time? How many empty seats are there on kitchen tables across America because of Donald Trump's ego? "spokesman Andrew Bates said.
The researchers said they faced "significant challenges" by recognizing that the dynamics of Covid-19 are "complex" and "even the most superficial examination of the data shows that the process that governs the spread of Covid-19 is , is different in the individual counties. ""
The new research comes as the coronavirus continues to spread rapidly in the United States. The U.S. continued to hit new highs for infection this week. Friday saw a record 99,321 daily new cases, bringing the 7-day average daily new cases to a new high of 78,738, a CNBC analysis of data from Johns Hopkins University revealed.
Trump has often been criticized for holding personal rallies, sometimes involving tens of thousands of people, during a pandemic. He has tried to downplay the virus and has often linked the rise in Covid-19 cases to further testing. But public health officials and infectious disease experts deny that claim, saying the rate of tests positive and hospital stays are also increasing.
Dr. Anthony Fauci, the nation's leading infectious disease expert, said Friday the US is reporting an "extremely high and unacceptable" daily number of cases ahead of the winter season in which people will spend more time indoors.
"We're in a precarious position for the next few weeks to months," Fauci told SiriusXM's Doctor Radio Reports, urging people to continue wearing face masks and social distancing, and to spend as much time outdoors as possible.