In the past 30 days, the number of pandemic-suspended borrowers has declined by an extent not seen since the coronavirus hit the United States.
According to the latest report from Black Knight, active forbearance loans declined 359,000, or 22%, over that period. The decline for the 30 days ending October 12 was a large number of schedule expiration dates and occurred despite the extension of the deadline that was previously on September 30 for the first government loan deferral requests.
Forbearance on mortgages insured by the Federal Housing Administration or guaranteed by the Department of Veterans Affairs decreased by 26% or Freddie Mac and 20% or a decrease of 98,000 for loans in portfolios or private label Securities are held.
While the extension of the Treasury deadline did not slow the decline in the 30-day rate, the shorter-term decline in forbearance recorded in the Black Knight report was slightly less than the previous one. In the seven days leading up to October 12, forbearance fell 143,000, or 10%. Black Knight had seen a drop of 177,000, or 11%, for the previous week.
All product types saw declines over the seven-day period. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, as well as FHA and VA loans, which now both have perpetual deadlines for filing initial forbearance plans, saw consecutive 6% decline.
FHA and VA loans accounted for nearly 39% of all remaining deferred loans in the market as of Oct 12, followed by PLS loans at 31% and Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgages at more than 30%.
Approximately 1.25 million mortgages, which represent 2.4% of U.S. home loans, were on forbearance on October 12, down from 2.6% on December 5. October. The forbearance rates for the three loan types on October 12 were as follows: FHA and VA, 4%; Portfolio and personal securitized loans, 3%; and mortgages bought by the GSEs, 1.3%.
Going forward, Black Knight expects 47,000 exits to be fully processed by September and another 329,000 plans to be removed or expanded in October.
"The potential for further significant declines will continue through early November," said Andy Walden, Black Knight's vice president of market research, in a blog post.
Black Knight's numbers come from its McDash Flash dataset, which provides daily credit status and payment information from more than 60 of the largest service providers, representing around 70% of the market.