According to the latest report from Black Knight, the number of borrowers who left coronavirus-related moratoriums in the past week was the largest since early April.
Net Active Plans were down 189,000, meeting expectations that a bevy of borrowers could end their payment suspensions after more than 200,000 quarterly reviews in late June. Mortgage servants removed 211,000 borrowers from plans and added 22,000 over the past week.
The sharp decline in forbearance on all loan types in the Black Knight report suggests that a particularly large number of borrowers are recovering enough from pandemic hardship to end plans before the earliest expiration dates come this fall.
The surge in forbearance exits "offers more encouraging news, although the key deadline in September is still a few months away," said Brian Chappelle of Potomac Partners in an email. Chapelle is a partner in Washington, D.C. resident real estate consultancy.
The cuts were most pronounced among borrowers with private loans who lack mandatory government mortgage deferral periods. 78,000 of the exits were for borrowers with loans in portfolio or private label securities.
That decline means there are fewer than 875,000 loans left that could expire later this year, an improvement from mid-June when there were more than 1 million active plans in this category.
"The strong exit pace this week is sure to improve the outlook for late 2021, at least modestly," said Andy Walden, vice president of market research at Black Knight, in an email.
Forbearance on mortgages insured by either the Federal Housing Administration or guaranteed suspension declined 44,000.
According to Black Knight, the suspension rates for various loan types on July 6 were as follows: GSE (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac), 2.2%: personal loans, 4.6%; and FHA / VA, 6.8%. The average forbearance rate of all home mortgages over the past week was 3.5%.
Government insured and guaranteed loans tend to have higher forbearance and default rates as they benefit many first-time home buyers with lower incomes, but experts expect higher equity will help cushion the effects of hardship in this market.