Mortgage and refinance charges right this moment, Could 13, 2021

Today's mortgage and refinance rates

Average mortgage rates rose again yesterday. And these rates are now at their highest ever level in May.

In early trading, it looked like it Mortgage rates today may stay the same or change little. However, the key markets have been volatile lately and a “more interesting” outcome remains possible.

Find and lock a low rate (May 13, 2021)

Current mortgage and refinancing rates

Mortgage rates

Conventional set for 30 years
+ 0.12%

Conventional 15 years fixed
+ 0.06%

Conventional set for 20 years
+ 0.13%

Conventional 10 years fixed
+ 0.01%

Fixed FTA for 30 years
+ 0.07%

Fixed FTA for 15 years
+ 0.04%

5 years ARM FHA

30 years permanent VA
+ 0.13%

15 years fixed VA

5 years ARM VA

Prices are provided by our partner network and may not reflect the market. Your rate could be different. Click here for a personalized price offer. See our tariff assumptions here.

Find and lock a low rate (May 13, 2021)

COVID-19 Mortgage Updates: Mortgage lenders are changing interest rates and rules due to COVID-19. For the latest information on how coronavirus is affecting your home loan, click here.

Should You Lock A Mortgage Rate Today?

Regardless of whether you locked out three weeks ago or continued to float during that period, you can sigh in relief. Because you have lost or gained almost nothing. And while there were better or worse days to lock out, the overall movement at these rates was tiny.

What has remained constant has been the risk of the rising trend resuming in 2021. And whether or not it has already started, that risk remains high.

So my personal recommendations for tariff blocking remain:

LOCK when you approach 7th DaysLOCK when you approach fifteen DaysLOCK when you approach 30th DaysLOCK when you approach 45 DaysLOCK when you approach 60 Days

But I am not saying that I am completely forward-looking. And your personal analysis could turn out to be as good as mine – or better. So you can be guided by your instincts and your personal risk tolerance.

Market Data Affecting Mortgage Rates Today

Here's a snapshot of the current status this morning at 9:50 a.m. (ET). The dates, compared to about the same time yesterday, were:

The Return on 10 year treasury held constant at 1.68% (Neutral for mortgage rates.) More than any other market, mortgage rates usually tend to follow these particular government bond yields, albeit more recentlyImportant stock indices were mostly a bit higher when opened. (Bad for mortgage rates.Often times, when investors buy stocks, they sell bonds, which lowers the prices of those bonds and increases yields and mortgage rates. The opposite happens when the indices are lowerOil prices fell from $ 66.13 a barrel to $ 64.52. ((Good for mortgage rates *.Energy prices play a major role in causing inflation and are also indicative of future economic activity. Gold prices decreased from $ 1,834 an ounce to $ 1,820. ((Neutral for mortgage rates*.) In general, it is better for interest rates when gold rises and worse for interest rates when gold falls. Gold tends to rise when investors worry about the economy. And worried investors tend to cut ratesCNN Business Fear & Greed Index – Fallen from 45 to 37 From 100. (Good for mortgage rates.) "Greedy" investors push bond prices down (and interest rates up) when they exit the bond market and invest in stocks, while "fearful" investors do the opposite. So lower readings are better than higher ones

* A change of less than $ 20 in gold prices or 40 cents in oil prices is a fraction of 1%. Hence, we count significant differences in mortgage rates only as good or bad.

Reservations about markets and prices

Before the pandemic and the Federal Reserve's intervention in the mortgage market, you could look at the numbers above and make a pretty good guess as to what would happen to mortgage rates that day. However, this is no longer the case. We still use the phone every day. And are usually right. However, our record for accuracy will not reach its former high level until things settle down.

Use markets only as a rough guide. Because they have to be exceptionally strong or weak to be relied on. But with this restriction so far Mortgage rates are likely to remain stable today or be just inches from the neutral line. And be aware that intraday volatility (when prices change direction during the day) is a common feature these days.

Find and lock a low rate (May 13, 2021)

Important information about today's mortgage rates

Here are some things you need to know:

Typically, mortgage rates go up when the economy is doing well and go down when they are in trouble. There are exceptions, however. Reading & # 39;How are mortgage rates determined and why should you care?
Only top notch borrowers (with great credit scores, high down payments, and very healthy finances) will get the ultra-low mortgage rates you see advertised
Lenders vary. Yours may or may not follow the crowd when it comes to daily interest rate movements – though they all usually follow the broader trend over time
When the daily rate changes are small, some lenders adjust closing costs and leave their rate cards the same
The refinancing rates are usually close to those for purchases. However, some types of refinancing are higher after a regulatory change

So there is a lot going on here. And no one can claim to know for sure what will happen to mortgage rates in the coming hours, days, weeks, or months.

Are mortgage and refinancing rates rising or falling?

today and so on

Every business journalist I've read believes that fear of future inflation is behind the recent turmoil in the markets. "Investors prepare for nerve tests if inflation worries mount," the Financial Times said earlier this morning. And it goes on: "The markets are faced with uncertainty as economic growth increases expectations of interest rate hikes."

But is there any reason to be optimistic? The Wall Street Journal may have found a glimmer overnight. It quoted a State Street Global Markets analyst who said:

… A clearer picture would only emerge with a longer series of data on jobs and inflation. He said US Treasury bond yields indicated that inflation expectations were still relatively contained.

– WSJ, "Inflation Affects Rattling Global Markets, But US Futures Are Gaining" (Paywall), May 13, 2021

Given that mortgage rates are usually closely related to 10-year government bond yields, this can be a good thing. And perhaps for the most part, investors are still buying the Federal Reserve's line that the latest worrying inflation number is just a sugar spurt after the recent stimulus measure. It assumes that these numbers will soon calm down.

Today's producer price index for April was hotter than analysts forecast. But the markets seemed to be shaking it off.

However, it remains unclear what all of this means for mortgage rates. I'm still pretty confident that they'll get up soon. However, I'm not sure yet if the recent hikes mean they have already started this sustained uptrend.

For more background information, see our latest weekend edition of this report.


For much of 2020, the general trend in mortgage rates was down significantly. According to Freddie Mac, a new weekly all-time low was hit 16 times in the past year.

The latest weekly record low was recorded on January 7th when 30-year fixed rate mortgages stood at 2.65%. But then the trend was reversed and interest rates rose.

However, those spikes were largely replaced by falls in April, though those have slowed since the middle of this month. Freddie's May 13 report puts this weekly average at 2.94% (with 0.7 fees and points). Low from 2.96% in the previous week. Note, however, that Freddie is not on the rise this Wednesday.

Mortgage rate forecasting experts

Looking to the future, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) each have a team of economists devoted to monitoring and forecasting the impact on the economy, housing and mortgage rates.

And here are their current interest rate forecasts for the remaining quarters of 2021 (Q2 / 21, Q3 / 21, Q4 / 21) and the first quarter of 2022 (Q1 / 22).

The numbers in the table below are for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage. Freddies updated on April 14th, Fannies updated on April 12th, and the MBA updated on April 22nd.

Q2 / 21
Q3 / 21
Q4 / 21
Q1 / 22

Fannie Mae

Freddie Mac


However, with so many unknowns, the current number of predictions might be even more speculative than usual. However, if any of these forecasts are to prove correct, interest rates will have to rise rapidly at some point during the remaining seven weeks of the current quarter (Q2).

Find your lowest price today

Some lenders have been terrified by the pandemic. And they only limit their offerings to the most vanilla-flavored mortgages and refinances.

But others remain brave. And you can still likely find the withdrawal refinance, investment mortgage, or jumbo loan that you want. You just need to shop broader.

But of course, whatever type of mortgage you want, you should do a lot of shopping in comparison. As a federal regulator, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau says:

Shopping for your mortgage can result in real savings. It may not sound like much, but if you save even a quarter point on your mortgage, you will save thousands of dollars over the life of your loan.

Check your new plan (May 13, 2021)

Mortgage rate method

The mortgage reports receive interest rates based on selected criteria from multiple credit partners on a daily basis. We'll find an average rate and an annual interest rate for each type of loan that we want to show on our chart. Since we calculate a series of average prices, this will give you a better idea of ​​what you might find in the market. We also calculate average interest rates for the same types of loans. For example, FHA was fixed with FHA. The end result is a good snapshot of the daily rates and how they change over time.

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