Today's mortgage and refinance rates
Average mortgage rates fell again yesterday. That extended the run to more than a week with no increase.
And that may not be the end. Because it looks like mortgage rates may go down again today.
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Current mortgage and refinancing rates
Conventional set for 30 years
Conventional 15 years fixed
Conventional set for 20 years
Conventional 10 years fixed
Fixed FTA for 30 years
Fixed FTA for 15 years
5 years ARM FHA
30 years permanent VA
15 years fixed VA
5 years ARM VA
Prices are provided by our partner network and may not reflect the market. Your rate could be different. Click here for a personalized price offer. See our tariff assumptions here.
Find and lock a low rate (April 8, 2021)
COVID-19 Mortgage Updates: Mortgage lenders are changing interest rates and rules due to COVID-19. For the latest information on how coronavirus is affecting your home loan, click here.
Should You Lock A Mortgage Rate Today?
The pressure to lock urgently was gone in April. And this month mortgage rates have fallen slightly. The problem is, no one can be sure how long this happy situation will last: days, weeks … who knows?
However, few experts believe that the current situation is the beginning of a new downtrend. Many think it's just a break. And that the upward trend will soon resume.
For now, you might not have to look for the phone to lock your plan. Assuming most experts are right, you should be ready to do so. Because at some point soon, the limited profits you've made by floating could evaporate very quickly.
So my personal recommendations for tariff blocking remain:
LOCK when you approach 7th DaysLOCK when you approach 15th DaysLOCK when you approach 30th DaysLOCK when you approach 45 DaysLOCK when you approach 60 Days
But I am not saying that I am completely forward-looking. And your personal analysis could turn out to be as good as mine – or better. So you can be guided by your instincts and your personal risk tolerance.
Market Data Affecting Mortgage Rates Today
Here's a snapshot of the current status this morning at 9:50 a.m. (ET). The dates, compared to about the same time yesterday, were:
The Return on 10 year treasury decreased from 1.66% to 1.63% (Good for mortgage rates.) More than any other market, mortgage rates usually tend to follow these particular government bond yields, albeit more recentlyImportant stock indices were mostly higher when opened. (Bad for mortgage rates.Often times, when investors buy stocks, they sell bonds, which lowers the prices of those bonds and increases yields and mortgage rates. The opposite happens when the indices are lowerOil prices increased from $ 59.14 per barrel to $ 59.21. ((Neutral for mortgage rates *.Energy prices play a huge role in creating inflation and also indicate future economic activity.) Gold prices from $ 1,738 per ounce to $ 1,756. ((Neutral for mortgage rates*.) In general, it is better for interest rates when gold rises and worse for interest rates when gold falls. Gold tends to rise when investors worry about the economy. And worried investors tend to cut ratesCNN Business Fear & Greed Index – Lower to 62 inches out of 63 out of 100. (Good for mortgage rates.) "Greedy" investors push bond prices down (and interest rates up) when they exit the bond market and invest in stocks, while "fearful" investors do the opposite. So lower readings are better than higher ones
* A change of less than $ 20 in gold prices or 40 cents in oil prices is a fraction of 1%. Hence, we count significant differences in mortgage rates only as good or bad.
Reservations about markets and prices
Before the pandemic and the Federal Reserve's intervention in the mortgage market, you could look at the numbers above and make a pretty good guess as to what would happen to mortgage rates that day. However, this is no longer the case. We still use the phone every day. And are usually right. However, our record for accuracy will not reach its former high level until things settle down.
Use markets only as a rough guide. Because they have to be exceptionally strong or weak to be relied on. But with this restriction so far Mortgage rates are likely to fall slightly today. Note, however, that intraday fluctuations (when prices change direction during the day) are a common feature these days.
Find and lock a low rate (April 8, 2021)
Important information about today's mortgage rates
Here are some things you need to know:
Typically, mortgage rates go up when the economy is doing well and go down when they are in trouble. There are exceptions, however. Reading & # 39;How are mortgage rates determined and why should you care?"
Only top-notch borrowers (with great credit scores, high down payments, and very healthy finances) will get the ultra-low mortgage rates you see advertised
Lenders vary. Yours may or may not follow the crowd when it comes to daily interest rate movements – though they all usually follow the broader trend over time
When the daily rate changes are small, some lenders adjust closing costs and leave their rate cards the same
The refinancing rates are usually close to those for purchases. However, some types of refinancing are higher after a regulatory change
So there is a lot going on here. And no one can claim to know for sure what will happen to mortgage rates in the coming hours, days, weeks, or months.
Are mortgage and refinancing rates rising or falling?
today and so on
Yesterday the Federal Reserve published the minutes of the last meeting of its monetary policy committee. If these had shown that their members' thinking was moving towards higher interest rates and a decrease in asset purchases, we might have seen chaos in the markets.
But the protocols didn't. They showed a fairly united committee working to maintain market support. There is nothing to see here. This morning's Guardian quoted Avatrade analyst Naeem Aslam:
Traders have finally understood that there will be no early exit from loose monetary policy. The US economy has to recover fully and it will take time for that to happen.
– Guardian Online, “FTSE 100 Wins After Federal Reserve Boosts Markets – Business Live,” April 8, 2021
Recent economic reports suggest that a strong recovery is underway. And that a boom is imminent. That's why I'm so confident that we will see higher mortgage rates in the future. Unless something extraordinary is holding the rebound off course, it seems inevitable. Because historically, a flourishing economy invariably means higher and higher interest rates.
If you prefer wisdom to the expert crowd, your fellow Americans are equally grim. Fannie Mae released the results of a consumer survey yesterday: “The percentage of respondents who say mortgage rates will fall in the next 12 months has fallen from 8% to 6%, while the percentage of those who expect mortgage rates to rise , rose from 47%. to 54%. "
For more background on how I continue to think, check out our latest weekend edition, which is published just after 10 a.m. (ET) every Saturday.
For much of 2020, the general trend in mortgage rates was down significantly. According to Freddie Mac, a new weekly all-time low was hit 16 times in the past year.
The latest weekly record low was recorded on January 7th when 30-year fixed rate mortgages stood at 2.65%. But then the trend was reversed and interest rates rose.
However, according to Freddie's April 8 report, that weekly average is 3.13% (with 0.7 fees and points) compared to 3.18% the previous week. In a press release, Freddie noted, "For seven straight weeks, mortgage rates have fallen due to the recent modest decline in US Treasury bond yields."
Mortgage rate forecasting experts
Looking ahead, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) each have a team of economists devoted to monitoring and forecasting the impact on the economy, housing and mortgage rates.
And here are their current interest rate forecasts for the remaining quarters of 2021 (Q2 / 21, Q3 / 21, Q4 / 21) and the first quarter of 2022 (Q1 / 22).
The numbers in the table below are for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage. Fannies were updated on March 17th and the MBA updated on March 22nd. But Freddie now publishes quarterly forecasts. The numbers are from January 10th and look clearly stale:
Q2 / 21
Q3 / 21
Q4 / 21
Q1 / 22
N / A
However, with so many unknowns, the current number of predictions might be even more speculative than usual. And as the year goes on, the spread will certainly widen.
Find your lowest price today
Some lenders have been terrified by the pandemic. And they limit their offerings to the most vanilla-flavored mortgages and refinances.
But others remain brave. And you can still likely find the withdrawal refinance, investment mortgage, or jumbo loan that you want. You just need to shop broader.
But of course you should do a lot of shopping in comparison, no matter what type of mortgage you want. As a federal regulator, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau says:
Shopping for your mortgage can result in real savings. It may not sound like much, but if you save even a quarter point on your mortgage, you will save thousands of dollars over the life of your loan.
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Mortgage rate method
The mortgage reports receive interest rates based on selected criteria from multiple credit partners on a daily basis. We'll find an average rate and an annual interest rate for each type of loan that we want to show on our chart. Since we calculate a series of average prices, this will give you a better idea of what you might find in the market. We also calculate average interest rates for the same types of loans. For example, FHA was fixed with FHA. The end result is a good snapshot of the daily rates and how they change over time.