Today's mortgage and refinance rates
Average mortgage rates fell again yesterday. The recent moves have not been great. But they're starting to add up. By the way, don't believe Freddie Mac's numbers released yesterday. They were out of date before publication.
Unfortunately, the recent fall could come to an end. Because it looks like it does Mortgage rates could go up today, maybe noticeable.
Find and lock a low rate (March 27, 2021)
Current mortgage and refinancing rates
Conventional set for 30 years
Conventional 15 years fixed
Conventional set for 20 years
Conventional 10 years fixed
Fixed FTA for 30 years
Fixed FTA for 15 years
5 years ARM FHA
30 years permanent VA
15 years fixed VA
5 years ARM VA
Prices are provided by our partner network and may not reflect the market. Your rate could be different. Click here for a personalized price offer. See our tariff assumptions here.
Find and lock a low rate (March 27, 2021)
COVID-19 Mortgage Updates: Mortgage lenders are changing interest rates and rules due to COVID-19. For the latest information on how coronavirus is affecting your home loan, click here.
Should You Lock A Mortgage Rate Today?
We could see an end to the weeklong mortgage rate decline. Even if today's likely increase doesn't occur, I expect an increase next week.
So my personal recommendations for tariff blocking remain:
LOCK when you approach 7th DaysLOCK when you approach 15th DaysLOCK when you approach 30th DaysLOCK when you approach 45 DaysLOCK when you approach 60 Days
But I am not saying that I am completely forward-looking. And your personal analysis could turn out to be as good as mine – or better. So you can be guided by your instincts and your personal risk tolerance.
Market Data Affecting Mortgage Rates Today
Here's a snapshot of the current status this morning at 9:50 a.m. (ET). The dates, compared to about the same time yesterday, were:
The Return on 10 year treasury increased from 1.59% to 1.67% (Bad for mortgage rates.) More than any other market, mortgage rates usually tend to follow these particular government bond yields, albeit more recentlyImportant stock indices were higher when opened. ((Bad for mortgage rates.Often times, when investors buy stocks, they sell bonds, which lowers the prices of those bonds and increases yields and mortgage rates. The opposite happens when the indices have lower oil prices rose to $ 60.79 from $ 59.22 per barrel. ((Bad for mortgage rates *.Energy prices play a huge role in creating inflation and also indicate future economic activity.) Gold prices fell from $ 1,726 $ 1,744 per ounce. ((Neutral for mortgage rates*.) In general, it is better for interest rates when gold rises and worse for interest rates when gold falls. Gold tends to rise when investors worry about the economy. And worried investors tend to cut ratesCNN Business Fear & Greed Index – Climbed from 35 from 100 to 45. (Bad for mortgage rates.) "Greedy" investors push bond prices down (and interest rates up) when they exit the bond market and invest in stocks, while "fearful" investors do the opposite. So lower readings are better than higher ones
* A change of less than $ 20 in gold prices or 40 cents in oil prices is a fraction of 1%. Hence, we count significant differences in mortgage rates only as good or bad.
Reservations about markets and prices
Before the pandemic and the Federal Reserve's intervention in the mortgage market, you could look at the numbers above and make a pretty good guess as to what would happen to mortgage rates that day. However, this is no longer the case. We're still on the phone. And are usually right. However, our record for accuracy will not reach its former high level until things settle down.
Use markets only as a rough guide. Because they have to be exceptionally strong or weak to be relied on. But with this restriction so far Mortgage rates are likely to rise higher today. Note, however, that intraday fluctuations (when prices change direction during the day) are a common feature these days.
Find and lock a low rate (March 27, 2021)
Important information about today's mortgage rates
Here are some things you need to know:
Typically, mortgage rates go up when the economy is doing well and go down when they are in trouble. There are exceptions, however. Reading & # 39;How are mortgage rates determined and why should you care?"
Only top-notch borrowers (with great credit scores, high down payments, and very healthy finances) will get the ultra-low mortgage rates you see advertised
Lenders vary. Yours may or may not follow the crowd when it comes to daily interest rate movements – though they all usually follow the broader trend over time
When the daily rate changes are small, some lenders adjust closing costs and leave their rate cards the same
The refinancing rates are usually close to those for purchases. However, some types of refinancing are higher after a regulatory change
So there is a lot going on here. And no one can claim to know for sure what will happen to mortgage rates in the coming hours, days, weeks, or months.
Are mortgage and refinancing rates rising or falling?
today and so on
Yesterday we discussed the possibility that the recent mortgage rate cuts were a technical flaw. They are the result of investors who reviewed their portfolios at the end of the quarter and adjusted the balance of their risks and opportunities.
But not all experts agree with my analysis. Yesterday, Matthew Graham wrote on Mortgage News Daily:
Whether or not this is the beginning of a major reversal remains to be seen. We have had several such promising episodes en route to higher rates and all of them have been "traps" so far. At some point, one of these bounces will be the real deal (and in fact, the higher rates will be more likely to go up), but we will waiting for at least a few days of confirmation before getting too committed to the idea.
Now, Mr. Graham is the mortgage rate expert's mortgage rate expert. And he can be right. But I will dare not agree. Yes, he's right that "at some point" one of these bounces will be the real deal. But I suspect it could be further in the future than it seems to imply.
Because for me, the momentum towards higher interest rates is currently irresistible. The likelihood of an economic boom this year is growing every day. And fear of the inflation that could lead to it is growing too. And both almost always raise interest rates.
Of course, there is always a distant possibility that something big could melt both drivers. Otherwise, I expect the uptrend to last for months – punctuated by the occasional technical glitch and the inevitable limited declines that make the uptrend line jagged rather than smooth.
For more background on how I continue to think, check out our latest weekend edition, which is published just after 10 a.m. (ET) every Saturday.
For much of 2020, the general trend in mortgage rates was down significantly. According to Freddie Mac, a new weekly all-time low was hit 16 times in the past year.
The latest weekly record low was recorded on January 7th when 30-year fixed rate mortgages stood at 2.65%. But then the prices went up. And Freddie's March 25 report puts that weekly average at 3.17% (with 0.7 fees and points) compared to 3.09% the previous week. However, Freddie's survey methodology means that not all falls were recorded this week.
Mortgage rate forecasting experts
Looking to the future, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) each have a team of economists devoted to monitoring and forecasting the impact on the economy, housing and mortgage rates.
And here are their current interest rate forecasts for each quarter of 2021 (Q1 / 21, Q2 / 21, Q3 / 21 and Q4 / 21).
The numbers in the table below are for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage. Fannies were updated on March 17th and the MBA updated on March 22nd. But Freddie now publishes quarterly forecasts. The numbers are from mid-January and look stale:
Q1 / 21
Q2 / 21
Q3 / 21
Q4 / 21
However, with so many unknowns, the current number of predictions might be even more speculative than usual. And as the year goes on, the spread is sure to widen.
Find your lowest price today
Some lenders have been terrified by the pandemic. And they only limit their offerings to the most vanilla-flavored mortgages and refinances.
But others remain brave. And you can still likely find the withdrawal refinance, investment mortgage, or jumbo loan that you want. You just need to shop broader.
But of course, no matter what type of mortgage you want, you should do a lot of shopping in comparison. As a federal regulator, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau says:
Shopping for your mortgage can result in real savings. It may not sound like much, but if you save even a quarter point on your mortgage, you will save thousands of dollars over the life of your loan.
Check your new plan (March 27, 2021)
Mortgage rate method
The mortgage reports receive interest rates based on selected criteria from multiple credit partners on a daily basis. We'll find an average rate and an annual interest rate for each type of loan that we want to show on our chart. Since we calculate a series of average prices, this will give you a better idea of what you might find in the market. We also calculate average interest rates for the same types of loans. For example, FHA was fixed with FHA. The end result is a good snapshot of the daily rates and how they change over time.