Mortgage and refinance charges as we speak, December 26th, and rate of interest forecast for subsequent week

Today's mortgage and refinance rates

Average mortgage rates fell on Christmas Eve. And on that day, Freddie Mac declared another all-time low for his weekly rate poll. So there is a good chance that today you are setting a course that is better than ever before in history.

Next week I expect these rates to move very little. There could be some upward pressure on them when Congress and the White House finally come together on pandemic relief efforts. But there was a lot of exciting news this week, and none of it created volatility.

Find and Lock a Low Rate (December 26, 2020)

Mortgage rates
Conventional 30 years fixed
Conventional 15 years fixed
Conventional 5-year ARM
Fixed FTA for 30 years
Fixed FTA for 15 years
5 years ARM FHA
30 years permanent VA
15 years fixed VA
5 years ARM VA
Prices are provided by our partner network and may not reflect the market. Your rate could be different. Click here for a personalized price offer. See our tariff assumptions here.

Find and Lock a Low Rate (December 26, 2020)

COVID-19 Mortgage Updates: Mortgage lenders are changing interest rates and rules due to COVID-19. For the latest information on the impact of Coronavirus on your home loan, click here.

Should You Lock A Mortgage Rate Today?

Nothing has changed in my personal view that mortgage rates must continue to fall. But there is always the possibility that they will suddenly rise, no matter how unlikely it currently seems.

Now you need to balance risk and reward. And right now, I think mortgage rates are unlikely to fall far enough over the next few weeks to warrant even the slightest risk of floating further.

I would lock up now if I closed in January and lived with the possibility of missing out on any profits. But I'd probably float if my deadline was any earlier.

But that's just my personal opinion. Only you can decide what to do based mostly on how well you are handling the risk.

For now, however, my personal recommendations are:

LOCK when you approach 7th DaysLOCK when you approach 15th DaysLOCK when you approach 30th DaysHOVER when you approach 45 DaysHOVER when you approach 60 Days

But with so much uncertainty right now, your instincts could easily turn out to be as good as mine – or better. So let your gut and your personal risk tolerance guide you.

What is driving current mortgage rates?

Last week I mentioned the possibility of higher volatility. This is because soon lenders will no longer be able to protect borrowers from every little market crisis they have been doing for months. Imagine their shock absorbers (or dampers) being shot down.

The direction of prices

If a busy week like this one hasn't shifted mortgage rates (you ended the week exactly where they started) it's hard to imagine what will get you far.

The markets shrugged as Congress passed legislation that created a pandemic (preventing the government from closing on Monday) and covered defense spending. And mortgage rates barely moved. This went on even if the President delayed the signing.

Ordinarily you would expect these rates to rise when the impasse ends and fall as it drags on. But will they be next week?

In the medium term, I still think that mortgage rates will have to fall further. This is because these rates tend to be low when the economy is in trouble.


The main reason I think mortgage rates are likely to fall is because of the pandemic. It is true that while on vacation there is likely to be a decline in infection, hospital and mortality rates.

However, this is at least partly due to the fact that irregularities caused by this holiday were reported. And a surge in a week or two wouldn't be a surprise after so much more socializing for seasonal celebrations.

Of course, vaccination programs will have an impact soon. But many think we'll be in the second half of next year before things get back to normal. And in the meantime, the pandemic will continue to wreak personal and economic havoc.


The European Union (EU) and the UK managed to reach a last-minute trade deal earlier this week. This will likely still lead to trading disruption and damage to both sides.

But it is much better than the alternative that could have disrupted an important corner of the world economy. If nothing changes (the deal has yet to be ratified), we can hope to never mention Brexit (the process of Britain leaving its EU membership) again.

Economic reports next week

As is to be expected, this holiday week should be quiet for economic reports. Markets could react if Thursday's weekly numbers for new unemployment insurance claims are much better or worse than expected.

But it would likely take shocking news to get far with the S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index release Tuesday or upcoming home sales on Wednesday. Friday is a public holiday.

Find and Lock a Low Rate (December 26, 2020)

Mortgage rates forecast for next week

I expect another quiet week on mortgage rates. This does not mean that volatility is not possible. But I think that's unlikely.

Mortgage and refinance rates usually move together. Note, however, that refinancing rates are currently slightly higher than those for purchase mortgages. This gap is likely to remain constant as it changes.

How is your mortgage rate determined?

Mortgage and refinancing rates are generally determined by the prices on a secondary market (similar to the stock or bond markets) where mortgage-backed securities are traded.

And that depends a lot on the economy. Therefore, mortgage rates are typically high when things are going well and low when the economy is in trouble.

Your part

However, they play a huge role in determining your own mortgage rate in five ways. You can significantly affect it by:

Shopping for Your Best Mortgage Rate – They vary widely from lender to lender. Boost your credit score. – Even a small bump can make a huge difference to your interest rate and payments. Save the biggest deposit you can. – Lenders want you to have real skin in this game of your other modest borrowings – The lower your other monthly commitments, the higher the mortgage you can afford. Choose your mortgage carefully. – Are you better off with a conventional, FHA, VA, USDA, Jumbo, or any other loan?

If you spend these ducks in a row you can win lower rates.

Remember, it's not just a mortgage rate

Take into account all of your upcoming home ownership costs when figuring out what your mortgage can be. So concentrate on your "PITI" P.rincipal (pays out the borrowed amount), Interest (the price of borrowing), (property) T.Axes and (homeowners) IInsurance. Our mortgage calculator can help you with this.

Depending on your type of mortgage and the amount of your down payment, you may also need to purchase mortgage insurance. And that can easily reach three digits every month.

But there are other potential costs. So you have to pay the homeowners association membership fees if you want to live anywhere with an HOA. And wherever you live, you should expect repair and maintenance costs. There is no landlord who can call if something goes wrong!

After all, you find it hard to forget about closing costs. You can see this in the Annual Percentage (APR) you provide. Because this effectively spreads it out over the life of your loan and makes it higher than your direct mortgage rate.

However, you may be able to get help with these closing costs and your down payment, especially if you are a first time buyer. Read:

Programs to support advance payments in all federal states for 2020

Mortgage rate method

The mortgage reports receive interest rates based on selected criteria from multiple credit partners on a daily basis. We'll find an average rate and an annual interest rate for each type of loan that we want to show on our chart. Since we calculate a series of average prices, this will give you a better idea of ​​what you might find in the market. We also calculate average interest rates for the same types of loans. For example, FHA was fixed with FHA. The end result is a good snapshot of the daily rates and how they change over time.

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