Today's mortgage and refinance rates
Average mortgage rates fell yesterday. You probably seemed to get up earlier in the day. However, in the afternoon they changed course over concerns about future tax rates.
Early market moves suggest this Mortgage rates could stay stable today or just be on both sides of the neutral line. Because investors seem to be in two heads. As the Wall Street Journal said this morning, "Sentiment has swayed between concerns about new waves of Covid-19 infection around the world and optimism sparked by promising economic data and strong corporate earnings."
Find and lock a low rate (May 2, 2021)
Current mortgage and refinancing rates
Conventional set for 30 years
Conventional 15 years fixed
Conventional set for 20 years
Conventional 10 years fixed
Fixed FTA for 30 years
Fixed FTA for 15 years
5 years ARM FHA
30 years permanent VA
15 years fixed VA
5 years ARM VA
Prices are provided by our partner network and may not reflect the market. Your rate could be different. Click here for a personalized price offer. See our tariff assumptions here.
Find and lock a low rate (May 2, 2021)
COVID-19 Mortgage Updates: Mortgage lenders are changing interest rates and rules due to COVID-19. For the latest information on how coronavirus is affecting your home loan, click here.
Should You Lock A Mortgage Rate Today?
If I were still fluctuating my interest rate, I would do two things right away. Call my lender first to make sure I can lock up almost immediately whenever I want. Second, I would start monitoring mortgage rates very closely, at least on a daily basis.
If I didn't want the surveillance job, I'd lock up now – even though rates have dropped. Because if they resume their uptrend they could rise quickly. Of course, I cannot be sure of this resumption. But read on for the reasons I'm pretty sure about it.
Therefore, my personal recommendations for tariff blocking remain for the time being:
LOCK when you approach 7th DaysLOCK when you approach fifteen DaysLOCK when you approach 30th DaysLOCK when you approach 45 DaysLOCK when you approach 60 Days
But I am not saying that I am completely forward-looking. And your personal analysis could turn out to be as good as mine – or better. So you can be guided by your instincts and your personal risk tolerance.
Market Data Affecting Mortgage Rates Today
Here's a snapshot of the current status this morning at 9:50 a.m. (ET). The dates, compared to about the same time yesterday, were:
The Return on 10 year treasury held constant at 1.56% (Neutral for mortgage rates.) More than any other market, mortgage rates usually tend to follow these particular government bond yields, albeit more recentlyImportant stock indices were mostly higher When opening. (Bad for mortgage rates.Often times, when investors buy stocks, they sell bonds, which lowers the prices of those bonds and increases yields and mortgage rates. The opposite happens when the indices are lowerOil prices rose from $ 61.26 per barrel to $ 61.60. ((Neutral for mortgage rates *.Energy prices play a major role in causing inflation and are also indicative of future economic activity. Gold prices Irose from $ 1,785 per ounce to $ 1,786. ((Neutral for mortgage rates*.) In general, it is better for interest rates when gold rises and worse for interest rates when gold falls. Gold tends to rise when investors worry about the economy. And worried investors tend to cut ratesCNN Business Fear & Greed Index – fell to 56 out of 60 out of 100. (Good for mortgage rates.) "Greedy" investors push bond prices down (and interest rates up) when they exit the bond market and invest in stocks, while "fearful" investors do the opposite. So lower readings are better than higher ones
* A change of less than $ 20 in gold prices or 40 cents in oil prices is a fraction of 1%. Hence, we count significant differences in mortgage rates only as good or bad.
Reservations about markets and prices
Before the pandemic and the Federal Reserve's intervention in the mortgage market, you could look at the numbers above and make a pretty good guess as to what would happen to mortgage rates that day. However, this is no longer the case. We still use the phone every day. And are usually right. However, our record for accuracy will not hit its former highs until things settle down.
Use markets only as a rough guide. Because they have to be exceptionally strong or weak to be relied on. But with this restriction so far Mortgage rates are likely to remain unchanged today or change little. Note, however, that intraday volatility (when prices change direction during the day) is a common feature right now.
Find and lock a low rate (May 2, 2021)
Important information about today's mortgage rates
Here are some things you need to know:
Typically, mortgage rates go up when the economy is doing well and go down when they are in trouble. There are exceptions, however. Reading & # 39;How are mortgage rates determined and why should you care?
Only top-notch borrowers (with great credit scores, high down payments, and very healthy finances) will get the ultra-low mortgage rates you see advertised
Lenders vary. Yours may or may not follow the crowd when it comes to daily interest rate movements – though they all usually follow the broader trend over time
When the daily rate changes are small, some lenders adjust closing costs and leave their rate cards the same
The refinancing rates are usually close to those for purchases. However, some types of refinancing are higher after a regulatory change
So there is a lot going on here. And no one can claim to know for sure what will happen to mortgage rates in the coming hours, days, weeks, or months.
Are mortgage and refinancing rates rising or falling?
today and so on
Mortgage rates have come down this month for a variety of reasons. The main concern right now, however, is that investors are concerned about the impact COVID-19 is having on the global economy.
True, you have little cause for concern when it comes to the domestic economy. Almost all of the latest economic data has been exceptionally good. However, the further growth of the US depends to some extent on world trade. And some key partners – India in particular – are now facing serious COVID-19 issues.
But how long do these problems persist? So far, 525 million people around the world have had at least one dose of vaccine. And the rate of new vaccinations is increasing, especially with important trading partners. As of April 1, only 349 million people had received an injection, according to Our World in Data. In India, 110 million people had been vaccinated by April 21, compared with 59 million on April 1.
Will the pandemic abroad stifle our incipient domestic boom? Your guess is as good as mine. But I doubt it.
And if I'm right, higher mortgage rates are all but inevitable. Because booms pretty much always bring higher rates. What nobody knows is if and when investors will regain their nerve.
For more background on how I continue to think, check out our latest weekend edition, which is published just after 10 a.m. (ET) every Saturday.
For much of 2020, the general trend in mortgage rates was down significantly. According to Freddie Mac, a new weekly all-time low was hit 16 times in the past year.
The latest weekly record low was hit on January 7th when 30-year fixed rate mortgages stood at 2.65%. But then the trend was reversed and interest rates rose.
However, these increases were halted in April. And Freddie's April 22nd report puts that weekly average at 2.97% (with 0.7 fees and points) compared to 3.04% the previous week.
Mortgage rate forecasting experts
Looking ahead, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) each have a team of economists devoted to monitoring and forecasting the impact on the economy, housing and mortgage rates.
And here are their current interest rate forecasts for the remaining quarters of 2021 (Q2 / 21, Q3 / 21, Q4 / 21) and the first quarter of 2022 (Q1 / 22).
The numbers in the table below are for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage. Freddies updated on April 14th, Fannies updated on April 12th, and the MBA updated on April 22nd.
Q2 / 21
Q3 / 21
Q4 / 21
Q1 / 22
However, with so many unknowns, the current number of predictions might be even more speculative than usual.
Find your lowest price today
Some lenders have been terrified by the pandemic. And they limit their offerings to the most vanilla-flavored mortgages and refinances.
But others remain brave. And you can still likely find the withdrawal refinance, investment mortgage, or jumbo loan that you want. You just need to shop broader.
But of course, no matter what type of mortgage you want, you should do a lot of shopping in comparison. As a federal regulator, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau says:
Shopping for your mortgage can result in real savings. It may not sound like much, but if you save even a quarter point on your mortgage, you will save thousands of dollars over the life of your loan.
Check your new tariff (May 2, 2021)
Mortgage rate method
The mortgage reports receive interest rates based on selected criteria from multiple credit partners on a daily basis. We'll find an average rate and an annual interest rate for each type of loan that we want to show on our chart. Since we calculate a series of average prices, this will give you a better idea of what you might find in the market. We also calculate average interest rates for the same types of loans. For example, FHA was fixed with FHA. The end result is a good snapshot of the daily rates and how they change over time.