Mortgage

Mortgage and refinance charges at the moment, October 16, 2020

Today's mortgage and refinance rates

Average mortgage rates fell again yesterday. And traditional loans today start at 3.125% (3.125% APR) for a 30 year fixed rate mortgage.

Freddie Mac's suggestion yesterday that average mortgage rates were at an all-time low was met with outrage by Mortgage News Daily. Some types of mortgages (and refinances in particular) are far from their lowest. So you can set a record or not. Check with your lender.

Find and Lock a Low Rate (Oct 17, 2020)

Current mortgage and refinancing rates

program
Mortgage rates
APR *
change
Conventional 30 years fixed
3.125%.
3.125%.
+ 0.38%
Conventional 15 years fixed
3.063%.
3.063%.
+ 0.56%
Conventional 5-year ARM
3%.
2,743%.
Unchanged
Fixed FTA for 30 years
2.25%.
3.226%.
Unchanged
Fixed FTA for 15 years
2.25%.
3.191%.
Unchanged
5 years ARM FHA
2.5%.
3,245%.
Unchanged
30 years permanent VA
3.063%.
3,242%.
+ 0.82%
15 years fixed VA
2.25%.
2.571%.
Unchanged
5 years ARM VA
2.5%.
2,426%.
Unchanged
Your rate could be different. Click here for a personalized price offer. See our tariff assumptions here.

Find and Lock a Low Rate (Oct 17, 2020)

COVID-19 Mortgage Updates: Mortgage lenders are changing interest rates and rules due to COVID-19. For the latest information on the impact of Coronavirus on your home loan, click here.

Should You Lock A Mortgage Rate Today?

Markets were bolstered this morning by better-than-expected retail sales for September and a heads-up from Pfizer, which was able to apply for emergency approval for a COVID-19 vaccine as early as late November.

But if mortgage rates go up today because of this, it will be their first hike this week. So far, they have either held up steadily or showed modest but welcome falls.

So are we back in the month-long trend? Overall, that was a very gentle decline, punctuated by occasional increases.

It is certainly possible that we will be back on this path. The Federal Reserve continues to buy large amounts of mortgage bonds. In the meantime, many investors in the economy see little to be happy about. And that combination could result in slightly lower rates over time.

But it's too early to be complacent. They could always send some shockingly good news significantly higher. Or a series of smaller events could slowly push you up – with a little luck, briefly.

So my personal recommendations remain:

LOCK when you approach 7th DaysLOCK when you approach fifteen DaysHOVER when you approach 30th DaysHOVER when you approach 45 DaysHOVER when you approach 60 Days

But with so much uncertainty right now, your instincts could easily turn out to be as good as mine – or better. So let your personal risk tolerance guide you.

Compare top refinancing lenders

Market Data Affecting Mortgage Rates Today

Here is the current status at 9:50 a.m. (ET) this morning. The dates, compared to roughly the same time yesterday morning, were:

The 10-year Treasury yield increased from 0.71% to 0.73%. (Bad for mortgage rates.More than any other market, mortgage rates usually tend to follow these particular government bond yields, albeit more recentlyImportant stock indices were significantly higher when opened. (Bad for mortgage rates.Often times, when investors buy stocks, they sell bonds, which lowers the prices of those bonds and increases yields and mortgage rates. The opposite happens when the indices are lower. Oil prices rose from $ 39.70 a barrel to $ 40.34. (Bad for mortgage rates * because energy prices play a huge role in creating inflation and also indicate future economic activity.) Gold prices rose from $ 1,899 an ounce to $ 1,909. (Neutral for mortgage rates *.) In general, it is better for interest rates when gold rises and worse when gold falls. Gold tends to rise when investors worry about the economy. And worried investors tend to cut rates. CNN Business Fear & Greed Index jumped from 56 out of 100 possible points to 64. (Bad for mortgage rates.) "Greedy" investors push bond prices down (and interest rates up) when they exit the bond market and invest in stocks, while "fearful" investors do the opposite. Lower readings are therefore better than higher ones

* A change in the price of gold by less than $ 20 or in cents in oil prices is a fraction of 1%. Hence, we count significant differences in mortgage rates only as good or bad.

Before the pandemic and the Federal Reserve's intervention in the mortgage market, you could look at the numbers above and get a pretty good idea of ​​what would happen to mortgage rates that day. However, this is no longer the case. The Fed is a big player now and a few days can overwhelm investor sentiment.

Use markets only as a rough guide. They have to be exceptionally strong (rates are likely to rise) or weak (they could fall) to be relied on. Today they are looking worse for mortgage rates. Retail sales that morning were good and the prospect of a possible vaccine by the end of next month is good.

Find and Lock a Low Rate (Oct 17, 2020)

Important Notes About Today's Mortgage Rates

Here are some things you need to know:

The Fed's continued intervention in the mortgage market (at least $ 1 trillion; some say close to $ 2 trillion) should continue to put pressure on these rates. But it can't always work miracles. So expect both short-term increases and decreases. And read: “For once, the Fed affects mortgage rates. Here's why: "If you want to understand this aspect of what is happening, mortgage rates usually go up when the economy is doing well and go down when they're in trouble." There are exceptions, however. Read about how mortgage rates are determined and why you should care. Only top notch borrowers (with great credit scores, high down payments, and very healthy finances) will get the ultra-low mortgage rates for which the listed lenders vary. Yours may or may not follow the crowd when it comes to interest rate movements – though they usually all follow the broader trend over time. When interest rate changes are small, some lenders will adjust closing costs and leave their interest rate cards the same during times of high demand, push-up rates as a way to manage their workflow. Neither the markets nor the Fed can help

So there is a lot going on here. And no one can claim to know for sure what will happen to mortgage rates in the coming hours, days, weeks, or months.

Are mortgage and refinancing rates rising or falling?

The general trend in mortgage rates has been falling significantly in recent months. A new all-time low was set in early August, and we have grown close since then. Still, a new one remains a real possibility.

But such a new low is anything but natural. See "Should You Lock A Mortgage Rate Today?" (above) for reasons they can go higher.

It all depends on myriad variables, most of which are unknown.

Mortgage Forecast Experts

Looking ahead, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) each have a team of economists devoted to monitoring and forecasting the impact on the economy, housing and mortgage rates.

And here are their current interest rate forecasts for the final quarter of 2020 (Q4 / 20) and the first three of 2021 (Q1 / 21, Q2 / 21 and Q3 / 21).

Notice that fannies (published September 15th) and the MBA (September 21st) are updated monthly. However, Freddies are now released quarterly. Its latest was finally released on October 14th.

The numbers in the table below are for 30-year fixed rate mortgages:

ForecasterQ4 / 20Q1 / 21Q2 / 21Q3 / 21Fannie Mae 2.8% 2.8% 2.7% 2.7% Freddie Mac 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% MBA 3.1% 3.1% 3.2% 3.2%

So the predictions vary considerably. You pay your money …

Find your lowest price today

Everyone – from federal regulators to personal finance gurus – agrees that buying your new mortgage or refinance is important. You could save thousands in just a few years by solving quotes from multiple lenders. Even more so, if you hold your mortgage for a long time or have a large loan.

But you seldom have more to gain than you are buying now. The mortgage market is very chaotic right now. And some lenders offer significantly lower interest rates than others. Worse, some make it harder to get a mortgage at all when you want a withdrawal refinance, an investment property loan, a jumbo loan, or a break in your credit score.

So buy your new mortgage or refinancing soon. Chances are you'll find plenty in the type of loan you want if you spread your network widely.

Check your new plan (October 17, 2020)

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Mortgage rate method

The mortgage reports receive interest rates based on selected criteria from multiple credit partners on a daily basis. We find an average rate and an annual interest rate for each type of loan that we want to show on our chart. Since we calculate a series of average prices, this will give you a better idea of ​​what you might find in the market. We also calculate average interest rates for the same types of loans. For example, FHA was fixed with FHA. The end result is a good snapshot of the daily rates and how they change over time.

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