Mortgage and refinance charges at the moment, November seventh, and rate of interest forecast for subsequent week

Today's mortgage and refinance rates

Welcome to the new weekend edition of our tariff report and forecast. Average mortgage rates rose significantly yesterday. And traditional loans start today at 2.625% (2.625% APR) for a 30 year fixed rate mortgage.

Since election day, mortgage rates have shadowed the markets they normally follow much less closely than usual. And that's just as well. Because they would be higher if they were still tracking 10 year treasury yields and stock markets. But that could lead some lenders to adjust their rate cards a little higher later today or Monday morning.

Find and Lock a Low Rate (Nov 7, 2020)

Mortgage rates
Conventional 30 years fixed
Conventional 15 years fixed
Conventional 5-year ARM
Fixed FTA for 30 years
Fixed FTA for 15 years
5 years ARM FHA
30 years permanent VA
15 years fixed VA
5 years ARM VA

Your rate could be different. Click here for a personalized price offer. See our tariff assumptions here.

Find and Lock a Low Rate (Nov 7, 2020)

COVID-19 Mortgage Updates: Mortgage lenders are changing interest rates and rules due to COVID-19. For the latest information on the impact of Coronavirus on your home loan, click here.

Should You Lock A Mortgage Rate Today?

When you lock often depends on when you lock. As you get closer to the time to lock down, you can reap the benefits. There is often a bump when a presidential race is called. But that can't take long this time.

And once things get back to normal, I believe mortgage rates will likely continue to fall, albeit slowly and uncertainly. But I also think these falls are interrupted by occasional, short, and modest climbs.

But events can certainly overtake my beliefs. However, since there is no better information, my personal recommendations must remain for the time being:

LOCK when you approach 7th DaysLOCK when you approach 15th DaysHOVER when you approach 30th DaysHOVER when you approach 45 DaysHOVER when you approach 60 Days

But with so much uncertainty right now, your instincts could easily turn out to be as good as mine – or better. So let your gut and your personal risk tolerance guide you.

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What is driving current mortgage rates?


It is the continuing number of presidential elections that are primarily moving mortgage rates. However, the better-than-expected employment numbers on Friday also moved the needle that day.

By the time you are reading this, this race may already have been called. And most political experts expect former Vice President Joe Biden to win. It is true, nothing is certain until the votes are counted and finally confirmed. But math currently appears to be on Mr Biden's side in four key states. And he would win the White House if he was the winner in Pennsylvania or two of the other three.

But of course, President Donald Trump is unlikely to go down without a fight. He is launching legal challenges in several battlefield states and will request recounts where this is an option. It is true that his chances of success in these efforts are currently slim. But it's not over until it's over.

This uncertainty contributed to mortgage rates hitting new lows (for purchase mortgages but not refinancing) last week. At the end of this uncertainty, however, they could pick up again, at least if the outcome doesn't spark widespread unrest. Chances are, any major networks that can agree on a winner will be enough for investors to consider the matter closed.


So we could see rates rise next week. But that can't take as long as usual. Why? Well, the COVID-19 pandemic is crying out for investor attention as a second wave will do all but economic damage.

And this second wave already seems to be crashing over us. According to the New York Times, deaths have increased 12% in the past two weeks. And because of the delay between catching the disease and dying, they are likely to rise even faster. Because the US set increasingly poor records for new infections on Wednesday, Thursday and (at 132,797) Friday.

Once investors shift focus from the elections, they may have to deal with the pandemic soon. And that could lower mortgage rates even further.

Economic reports this week

There is little on the calendar of economic reports that could create waves in the markets. The new unemployment insurance entitlements on Thursday could as well as the consumer sentiment index on Friday. But until then, investors may have other things to distract them.

There are also various inflation and price figures on Thursday and Friday. But they rarely shock.

Find and Lock a Low Rate (Nov 7, 2020)

Mortgage rates forecast for next week

In summary, we are still in a highly unpredictable area. Personally, I expect a moderate and brief spike in rates when the election is called.

However, I suspect the impact of the new upswing in the pandemic on investors may not be permanent.

Even so, with so much injustice, I can prove wrong.

Mortgage and refinance rates usually move together. Note, however, that refinancing rates are currently slightly higher than those for purchase mortgages. This gap is likely to stay the same if it changes.

How is your mortgage rate determined?

Mortgage and refinancing rates are generally determined by the prices in a secondary market (such as the equity or bond markets) where mortgage-backed securities are traded.

And that depends a lot on the economy. Therefore, mortgage rates are typically high when things are going well and low when the economy is in trouble.

Your part

However, they play a huge role in determining your own mortgage rate in five ways. You can significantly affect it by:

Shopping for Your Best Mortgage Rate – They vary widely depending on the lender. Boost your credit score. – Even a small bump can make a huge difference to your interest rate and payments. Save the biggest deposit you can. – Lenders like you have real skin in this modest borrowing game – The lower your other monthly obligations, the bigger the mortgage you can afford. Choose your mortgage carefully. – Are you better off with a conventional, FHA, VA, USDA, Jumbo, or other loan?

If you spend these ducks in a row you can win lower rates.

Remember, it's not just a mortgage rate

Take into account all of your upcoming home ownership costs when figuring out what your mortgage can be. So concentrate on your "PITI" P.rincipal (pays out the borrowed amount), Interest (the price of borrowing), (property) T.Axes and (homeowners) IInsurance.

Depending on your type of mortgage and the size of your down payment, you may also need to purchase mortgage insurance. And that can easily reach three digits every month.

But there are other potential costs. So you have to pay the homeowners association membership fees if you want to live anywhere with an HOA. And wherever you live, you should expect repair and maintenance costs. There is no landlord who can call if something goes wrong!

After all, you find it hard to forget about closing costs. These are taken into account in the annual percentage (APR) you specify. Because this effectively spreads them out over the life of your loan and makes them higher than your straight mortgage rate.

However, you may be able to get help with these closing costs and your down payment, especially if you are a first time buyer. Read:

Programs to support advance payments in all federal states for 2020

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Mortgage rate method

The mortgage reports receive interest rates based on selected criteria from multiple credit partners on a daily basis. We'll find an average rate and an annual interest rate for each type of loan that we want to show on our chart. Since we calculate a series of average prices, this will give you a better idea of ​​what you might find in the market. We also calculate average interest rates for the same types of loans. For example, FHA was fixed with FHA. The end result is a good snapshot of the daily rates and how they change over time.

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